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Economic development in India

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Last Updated: 02 July 2021

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General | Latest Info

India has emerged as the fastest growing major economy in the world and is expected to be one of top three economic powers in the world over the next 10-15 years, backed by its robust democracy and strong partnerships. India's GDP is estimated AT Rs 26. 9 Trillion for the first quarter of FY2020-21, against Rs 35. 35 Trillion in the first quarter of FY2019-20, showing a contraction of 23. 9 %, compared with 5. 2 % growth in the first quarter of FY2019-20. India is the fourth-largest Unicorn base in the world with over 21 unicorns collectively valued AT US 73. 2 billion, as per Hurun Global Unicorn List. By 2025, India is expected to have ~100 unicorns by 2025 and will create ~1. 1 million Direct jobs according to Nasscom-Zinnov Report Indian Tech Start-up. India needs to increase its rate of employment growth and create 90 million non-farm jobs between 2023 and 2030's, for productivity and economic growth, according to McKinsey Global Institute. The net employment rate needs to grow by 1. 5 % Per year from 2023 to 2030 to achieve 8-8. 5 % GDP growth between 2023 and 2030. India's Foreign exchange reserve was Rs 39. 64 Trillion in the week up to September 4 2020 according to data from RBI. With improvement in economic scenario, there have been investments across various sectors of the economy. Mergers and acquisition activity in India stood AT US 35. 1 billion in the first half of 2020, while private equity deals stand AT US 13 billion. Some of important recent developments in the Indian economy are as follow: India's overall exports from April 2020 to August 2020 are estimated to be US 182. 13 billion,. Overall imports from April 2020 to August 2020 are estimated to be US 167. 94 billion,. According to IHS Markit, Purchasing Managers' Index for manufacturing stood AT 46 in July 2020 against 47. 2 in June 2020, showing contraction in the sector because of coronavirus-related restrictions. Gross tax revenue stands AT Rs 3. 80 Trillion in the first quarter of 2020-21. The first quarter of FY 2021 witnessed four initial public offerings worth US 2. 08 million. India's Foreign Direct Investment equity inflow reached US 469. 99 billion between April 2000 to March 2020, with maximum contribution from services, computer software and hardware, telecommunications, construction, trading, and automobiles. India's Index of Industrial Production for 2019-20 stands AT 129. 2 combined Index of eight core industries stand AT 137 in March 2020. Its cumulative growth was 0. 6 % in 2019-20. The Consumer Price Index-combine inflation was 5. 9 % in March 2020 as compared to 6. 6 % in February 2020. Annual consumer price inflation increased to 4. 8 % in 2019-20 from 3. 4 % in 2018-19. India improved its ranking in the World Bank's Doing Business Report by 14 spots over last year and was ranked 63 among 190 countries in the 2020 edition of the Report. India is expected to have 100 000 Start-ups by 2025, which will create employment for 3. 25 million people and generate US 500 billion in value as per Mr T V Mohan Das Pai, Chairman, Manipal Global Education.

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* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

History

India has achieved much in the last decades. Yet economic deceleration in the past few quarters has generated worried commentaries about India's growth potential. However, our analysis of nearly five decades of data finds that India's long-term growth process is steady, stable, diversified and resilient. Does this lay the groundwork for more sustained 8 % Growth in the future? Yes, possibly, but more is needed. Let the US elaborate. First, India's long-term Economic Growth has steadily accelerated over a fifty-Year period, without any prolonged reversals. Thus, while growth averages 4. 4 percent a year during the 1970s and 1980s, it accelerated to 5. 5 percent during the 1990s-early 2000s, and further to 7. 1 percent in the past decade. Acceleration of growth is evident not just for aggregate GDP, but even more strongly for per capita GDP. The average pace of per capita growth was 5. 5 percent year in last decade. Interestingly, when compared with some of the world's largest emerging economies, this steady acceleration of growth stands out as being unique to India. Second, India's rate of growth has become more stable. This is partly due to stabilization of growth within each sector-agriculture, industry and services-and partly to the transition of the economy toward the Services Sector, where growth is more stable. Particularly interesting is the sharp increase in stability of GDP Growth since 1991. Before this, growth accelerated episodically, was punctuated by large annual variations, and often failed to sustain. Thus, growth has not just accelerated post liberalisation, it has also become more stable. Finally, growth has been broadly resilient to shocks, both domestic and external. The Resilience of India's growth can be attributed to the countrys large and spatially diversified economy, as well as to its diversified production structure that is not dependent on few products, commodities, or natural resources. It can also be attributed to India's diversified trade basket and a broad range of trading partners, wherein slowdown in any one part of the world will not result in a large impact on India. The resilience of the India Growth process was on display in recent years when the country recovered quickly from the impacts of two major policy events-demonetization and implementation of Goods and Services Tax, important indirect Tax reform. We argue that the deceleration to growth rates below 7 percent between Q3 2016-17 and Q2 2017-18 was an aberration, attributed to temporary disruptions in economic activity as the economy adjusted to demonetization and businesses prepared for implementation of GST. At present, there are indications that the economy has bottomed out and, in coming quarters, economic activity should revert to a Trend Growth rate of about 7. 5 percent. We project GDP Growth to be 6. 7 percent in 2017-18 and accelerate to 7. 3 percent and 7. 5 percent respectively in 2018-19 and 2019-20. Yet, our analysis shows that despite the growth rate recovering, attaining a growth rate of 8 percent or higher on a sustained basis would depend on an effective structural reform agenda.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

Agriculture

Agriculture is the primary source of livelihood for about 58 % of the Indian population. Gross value added by agriculture, forestry and fishing was estimated at Rs 19. 48 lakh crore in FY20. Growth in GVA in Agriculture and allied sectors stood at 4 % in FY20. The Indian Food Industry is poised for huge growth, increasing its contribution to World Food Trade every year due to its immense potential for value addition, particularly within the Food Processing Industry. The Indian Food and grocery Market is the world's sixth largest, with retail contributing 70 % of sales. The Indian Food Processing Industry accounts for 32 % of the countrys Total Food Market, one of largest industries in India and is rank fifth in terms of production, consumption, export and expected growth. During the 2019-20 * crop year, food grain production was estimated to reach a record 295. 67 million tonnes. In 2020-21, Government of India is targeting food grain production of 298 MT. Production of horticulture crops in India was estimated at a record 320. 48 million metric tonnes in FY20 as per second advance estimates. India has the largest livestock population of around 535. 78 million, which translates to around 31 % of the world population. Milk production in the country is expected to increase to 208 MT in FY21 from 198 MT in FY20, registering growth of 10 % y-oy. Sugar production in India reached 26. 46 MT between October 2019 and May 2020 sugar season according to the Indian Sugar Mills Association. India is among the 15 leading exporters of agricultural products in the world. Agricultural Export from India reach US 38. 54 billion in FY19 and US 28. 93 billion in FY20. The Organic Food segment in India is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10 % during 2015-­25 and is estimated to reach Rs 75 000 crore by 2025 from Rs 2 700 crore in 2015. According to the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade, Indian Food Processing Industry has cumulatively attracted Foreign Direct Investment equity inflow of about US 9. 98 billion between April 2000 and March 2020. Some major investments and developments in agriculture are as follow: in March 2020, Fact, oldest largeascale fertiliser manufacturer in the country, cross one million production and sales mark. Nestle India will invest Rs 700 crore in the construction of its ninth factory in Gujarat. In November 2019, Haldiram entered into agreement for Amazon's global selling program to E-tail its delicacies in the United States. In November 2019, Coca-Cola will launch Rani Float fruit juices to step out of its trademark fizzy drinks. Two diagnostic kits developed by the Indian Council of Agricultural Research-Indian Veterinary Research Institute and Japanese Encephalitis lgM ELISA were launched in October 2019. Investment worth Rs 8 500 crore has been announced in India for ethanol production.

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* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

Industrial output

NEW DELHI-Indias Industrial output fell 16. 6 % year-on-year in June, shrinking for the fourth month in a row, though monthly measure indicate some recovery in the coronavirus-hit sector. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a contraction of 20. 0 % in June, compared to revised 33. 9 % annual contraction in May, data show. Industrial activity has been hit hard in Asia's third-largest economy after the government imposed lockdown restrictions in late March. With the lifting of restrictions in subsequent periods, industrial activity is resuming, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation said in a statement on Tuesday. Private economists, however, say the economy is staring at the worst economic slowdown since independence from British colonial rule in 1947. The number of people infected with coronavirus in India has cross 2. 2 million, with 45 257 deaths, and epidemiologists say peak could be months away. Weekend lockdown in many Indian states and restrictions on public transport have hit production in factories and domestic and overseas sales of garments, vehicles and consumer durables. Manufacturing, which contributes nearly 17 % to the economy, contract 40. 7 % in the three months to end-June, indicating a sharp fall in economic activity. Passenger vehicle production in July fell 29. 4 % from a year earlier, separate data released by industry body on Tuesday show. Economists have predicted the economy could contract as much as 20 % in the April-June quarter. GDP Data for the June quarter is due to be released at the end of the month. The government had forecast 6 % economic growth in the current fiscal year beginning April, before the coronavirus hit, and has since maintained that there are signs of recovery as reflected by tax collection numbers.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

Services

Impact Of Infrastructure Improvements On Various Industries In India

SectorImpactNature of ImpactProbable Change in Sector OutlookRationale
CementVery highDirect--immediateStable to positiveGrowth comes from direct input in infrastructure
SteelVery highDirect--immediateNegative to stableAbsorb excess capacity and generate growth from direct input in infrastructure
Automobiles-commercial vehiclesHighDirect--short termStable to positiveGenerates growth from direct use in construction and transportation activities
Real estateMediumDirect--medium termNegative to stableHelps generate demand for unsold inventories, improves connectivity, and supports land prices
Capital goodsMediumIndirect--medium termNegative to stableResults in new capital orders (but with a lag), if manufacturing demand picks up due to infrastructure improvements
Automobiles-passenger vehiclesMediumIndirect--medium termStableDecongestion of roads to support car demand, infrastructure development will still be inadequate to replace private transport
ConsumersLowIndirect--medium termStableHigher economic activity likely to result from uptick in consumer spending
UtilitiesLowIndirect--medium termStableHigher economic growth would support demand
Oil and gasLowIndirect--long termStableGrowth from higher industrial demand
Metals and miningLowIndirect--long termNegativeGrowth from higher industrial demand

The services sector is not only the dominant sector in India's GDP, but has also attracted significant foreign investment, has contributed significantly to export and has provided large-scale employment. The Indian Services sector covers a wide variety of activities such as trade, hotel and restaurants, transport, storage and communication, financing, insurance, real estate, Business Services, community, social and personal services, and services associated with construction. The services sector is a key driver of India's economic growth. Sector contributed 55. 39 % to India's Gross Value added at current price in FY20 *. The Services sector's GVA grow at a CAGR of 1. 45 % to US 1 064. 8 billion in FY20 from US 1 005 billion in FY16. According to RBI data, in April 2020, service exports stand at Rs 1 254. 09 billion while imports stand at Rs 709. 07 billion. The Nikkei India Services Purchasing Managers' Index stands at 41. 8 in August 2020, reflecting the highest reading since March 2020 before the coronavirus pandemic accelerate; however, IT is still below the neutral mark, indicating the fifth consecutive decline in business activity in the private sector. Some of developments by companies in the Services sector in recent past are as follow: Indian healthcare industry is expected to shift to digitally enabled remote consultations via teleconsultation. The Telemedicine market in India is expected to increase at a CAGR of 31 % from 2020 to 2025. In August 2020, Japan committed ~Rs 35 billion under Official Development Assistance for Health sector to fight the COVID-19 crisis in India and improve the resilience of India's health systems against infectious diseases. In September 2020, LinkedIn and NSDC will collaborate to accelerate Digital skills training for Indian youth. In September 2020, NASSCOM FutureSkills and Microsoft collaborated to launch a nationwide AI skilling initiative to train 1 million students in AI by 2021. In September 2020, Byju's acquired 3D virtual lab startup LabInApp to strengthen its edtech presence. The services sector is the largest recipient of FDI in India with an inflow of US 82 billion between April 2000 and March 2020. In June 2020, Jio Platforms Ltd. Sold 22. 38 % stake worth Rs 1. 04 trillion to ten Global investors in the span of eight weeks under separate deals, involving Facebook, Silver Lake, Vista, General Atlantic, Mubadala, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, TPG Capital and L. Catterton. This is the largest continuous fundraise by any company in the world. The government of India recognises importance of promoting growth in the services sector and provides several incentives across a wide variety of sectors like Health care, Tourism, education, engineering, communications, transportation, Information Technology, banking, finance and management among others. The government of India has adopted few initiatives in recent past, Some of these are as follow: in September 2020, government announced that IT may infuse Rs 200 billion into public sector banks through recapitalisation of bonds in the next five years, Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology is working to increase contribution of Digital economy to 20 % of GDP.

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Key Opportunities And Challenges For Each Sector In Power Utilities

SectorKey OpportunitiesKey Challenges
GenerationStable regulations support adequate returns on investment. Growing demand expected to support PLF. Increase in domestic coal availability.Plant load factor (PLF) has been falling. Thermal plants face risks from renewable power getting dispatch priority and getting closer to price-parity.
TransmissionCommissioning of projects at all-time high, with a large pipeline for the next three to four years. Increasing private sector investments. Improving grid stability with resolution of key transmission shortages.Execution needs to be managed as significant investments are being made; including from new players. Competitive bidding can squeeze returns.
DistributionUDAY reforms. Improvement in liquidity of some distribution companies.Weak financial health of most state distribution companies. Inefficiencies leading to continuing TD (transmission and distribution) losses of 15%-18% (compared to 5.8% in China and an 8% global average).
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Anumakonda Jagadeesh

Meet DR Anumakonda Jagadeesh, innovator, social scientist, and crusader for the Promotion of science and Technology for Sustainable Development, all blended into one. In the terrace garden that is also DR Anumakonda Jagadeeshs research laboratory, saplings growing in tire tubes and leafy vegetables sprouting from soil on book racks are just a few of the sights one will see. Vary as plants may be, all his experiments are for the cause of environmental conservation. PhD in wind Energy from IIT Roorkee, 70-Year-old innovator, researcher, renewable energy expert, and founder of Nayudamma Centre for Development Alternatives. One day while watering plants in his terrace garden, DR Jagadeesh was struck by the amount of water being waste. He sat down to fix the issue and the result was the Jaga Bhagirathi sprinkler-drip irrigation system which saved a considerable amount of water. This is one of several inventions by him. His daily observations and reflective thinking on every problem lead him to find simpler solutions which anyone can adopt and over time get into the habit of sustainable use of resources. Initially, we irrigate our coconut field through an open canal system which leads to water loss through seepage and evaporation. I connect the entire farm with PVC pipes lay vertically and horizontally, which help US save 30 percent of water. There are several daily practices which can help the US conserve the environment. The simple practice of washing hands with soap, which I learned from my mother, can help you save at least a bucket of water a day. As soaps and hand washes require more water to clean lather, informs DR Jagadeesh. We cant accomplish big things unless we look at small things. Big is bountiful, but small is beautiful! A paradigm shift is needed towards science and technology. It is well recognise that science and technology are propellants for countrys progress. The greater capacity of a nation to generate, transfer and to utilise technology, faster is its growth and prosperity. In attempt to catch up with the West, its modernisation, and consumer civilisation, we have only landed ourselves in pockets of affluence, in a sea of distress and destitution. We now realise that merely increased production is not enough; it should be coupled with distributive justice. Economic development must be coupled with social development and help man be self-reliant and eco-friendly, he say. In name of rapid development, we have caused enough environmental damage which has led to the increasing intensity of natural disasters, water crisis, and climate change. With conscious efforts and small changes, we can make a big difference. One such change could be every house planting a few CAM plants. In the case of crassulacean acid metabolism plants such as agave, aloe vera, and cactus, stomata remain closed during the day to reduce loss of water and open at night to collect carbon dioxide.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

Historical Development of India's Economy

Independence brings dreams of not just individual, but also economic, social and political freedom. Seventy-two years later, these ideals have undergone transformation as India seeks to join the 5 trillion club. Reflecting on what shaped economic policy and the transition to millennial India, Mints editors bring you a curated History of Economy since 15 August 1947. In snippety, easy-to-read format, we examine influences of each erasocialism, post-socialism, liberalization and after. Mint s Short History of the Indian Economy since 1947 give you a glimpse into the making of billion aspirations and opportunities. Ancient land has a new beginning as a country facing monumental tasks. Indias independence was in itself a turning point in its economic history. The country was hopelessly poor as a result of steady deindustrialization by Britain. Less than sixth of Indians were literate. Abject poverty and sharp social differences have cast doubts on India's survival as one nation. Cambridge historian Angus Maddisons Work shows that India's share of world income shrank from 22. 6 % in 1700almost, equal to the Europes share of 23. 3 % to 3. 8 % in 1952. As former prime minister Manmohan Singh put it: brightest jewel in the British Crown was the poorest country in the world in terms of per capita income at the beginning of the 20th century. Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehrus Development model envisages the dominant role of the State as all-pervasive entrepreneur and financier of private businesses. The Industrial Policy Resolution of 1948 proposed a mixed economy. Earlier, Bombay Plan, proposed by eight influential industrialists including JRD Tata and GD Birla, envisaged substantial public sector with State interventions and regulations in order to protect indigenous industries. Political leadership believe that, since planning was not possible in a market economy, State and public sector would inevitably play leading role in economic progress. Very first budget, and defence of fiscal federalism alawyer, economist and politician who served as independent India's first finance minister, RK Shanmukham Chetty table countrys first Union budget in Parliament on 26 November 1947. He was also an India delegate to the World Monetary Conference at Bretton Woods in 1944, consequential gathering of economists towards fag end of World War II which set up the global financial architecture that governs the world to this day. In Constituent Assembly, Chetty made several interventions in defence of fiscal federalism, issue which would prove significant for his home state of Tamil Nadu in decades ahead. India set up a Planning Commission in 1950 to oversee the entire range of planning, including resource allocation, implementation and appraisal of Five-Year plans. Five-Year plans were centralize Economic and Social Growth programmes model after those prevalent in USSR. India's first Five-Year Plan, launched in 1951, focussed on agriculture and irrigation to boost farm output as India was losing precious foreign reserves on foodgrain imports. It was based on the Harrod-Domar model that seeks to boost economic growth through higher savings and investments.

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* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

Agricultural Sector

Agriculture, once India's main source of revenue and income, has since fallen to approximately 15. 96 % of the countrys GDP, as of 2019. However, analysts have pointed out that this fall should not be equated with a decrease in production. Rather, it reflects large increases in India's industrial and service outputs. The agricultural industry in India is currently facing some problems. First, industry is not as efficient as it could be: millions of small farmers rely on monsoons for water necessary for their crop production. Agricultural infrastructure is not well develop, so irrigation is sparse and agricultural products are at risk of spoilage because of lack of adequate storage facilities and distribution channels. Despite this, production is increasing. Today, India is leading producer of lemons, oilseeds, bananas, mangoes and papayas, wheat, rice, sugar cane, many vegetables, tea, cotton, and silkworms. While forestry is a relatively small contributor to the country's GDP, it is a growing sector and is responsible for producing fuel, wood, gums, hardwood, and furniture. An additional small percentage of the Indian economy comes from fishing and aquaculture, with shrimp, sardines, mackerel, and carp being bred and catch.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

Industrial Production

IIP India Growth Rate Data July 2020: Index of industrial production decline by 10. 4 per cent to 118. 1 in the month of July, according to data released by the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation. The fall is primarily due to lower output in manufacturing, mining and power generation sectors. IIP had grown to 4. 9 per cent in July 2019. Industrial Growth so far in fiscal year 2020-21 has contract 29. 2 per cent, compared to 3. 5 per cent rise in the corresponding period a year ago, data show. The steep fall this year can be attributed to nationwide lockdown which affected industrial work during April and May. The manufacturing sector saw a contraction of 11. 1 per cent on-year to 118. 8 during the month of July, while the mining sector slip-13. 0 per cent to 87. 2 and the electricity sector witnessed a fall of 2. 5 per cent at 166. 3, MoSPI Data show. In July last year, manufacturing sector had witnessed growth of 4. 8 per cent. During the same period, mining sector had grown at 4. 9 per cent and the electricity sector had witnessed growth of 5. 2 per cent, data show. In view of preventive measures and announcement of nation-wide lockdown by the Government to contain spread of COVID-19 pandemic, large number of industrial sector establishments were not operating from the end of March, 2020 onwards. This has had an impact on items being produced by establishments during the period of lockdown, Ministry said in its press release. With the lifting of restrictions in subsequent periods, industrial activity is resuming. The index for the month of July 2020 stands at 118. 1 as compared to 54. 0 89. 5 and 108. 9 for April 2020, May 2020 and June 2020, it add.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions.

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The Bottom Line

Director of Economic Analysis, Indiana Business Research Center, Indiana University Kelley School of Business Economic Research Analyst, Indiana Business Research Center, Indiana University Kelley School of Business Sustainability has been an often mentioned goal of businesses, nonprofits and governments in the past decade, yet measuring the degree to which organization is being sustainable or pursuing Sustainable growth can be difficult. John Elkington strove to measure sustainability during the mid-1990s by encompassing a new framework to measure performance in corporate America. 1 This accounting framework, called triple bottom line, goes beyond traditional measures of profits, return on investment, and shareholder value to include environmental and social dimensions. By focusing on comprehensive investment resultsthat is, with respect to performance along interrelated dimensions of profits, people and planettriple bottom line reporting can be important tools to support sustainability goals. Interest in triple bottom line accounting has been growing across for-profit, nonprofit and government sectors. Many businesses and nonprofit organizations have adopted the TBL Sustainability framework to evaluate their performance, and a similar approach has gained currency with governments at federal, state and local levels. This article reviews the TBL concept, explains how it can be useful for businesses, policy-makers and economic development practitioners and highlights some current examples of putting TBL into practice.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions.

* Please keep in mind that all text is machine-generated, we do not bear any responsibility, and you should always get advice from professionals before taking any actions

Sources

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